Week 11: Thursday Night Football Player Accessories: Patriots vs. Falcons


[ad_1]

The Patriots enter football on Thursday night on a four-game winning streak behind Rookie Contender of the Year, Mac Jones. Jones looks more and more like a perfect fit for this attack, and he’s just put in his best performance of the season.

The New England caller threw for 198 yards and three touchdowns with an 82.6% success rate in a 45-7 loss to the Browns on Sunday. The Patriots offense has come to life. In the last three games, New England have scored the third most points in the NFL with an average of 32 points per game.

New England Patriots @ Atlanta Falcons

  • Moneyline: New England (-300) | Atlanta (+240)
  • Disseminate: New England -6.5 (-110) | Atlanta +6.5 (-110)
  • Total: 47.5 -More (-110) | Less than (-110)
  • Game Info: November 18, 2021, 8:20 p.m. ET | NFL Network

Atlanta, on the other hand, suffered a crushing loss on Sunday, losing to the Cowboys 43-3. Matt Ryan pitched for just 117 yards with zero touchdowns and a pair of interceptions. It is…. not good. But even worse, Atlanta may have lost its secret Swiss Army knife, the Cordarrelle Patterson.

Patterson will likely miss Thursday’s game with a sprained ankle, which means Mike Davis and Wayne Gallman will split the backfield. Calvin Ridley is already missing in Atlanta, so losing Patterson is a big blow. Atlanta has averaged 19.8 points per game over the season and just 14.3 points per game over the last three.

Defensively, New England dominated all year. During the season, New England allowed just 17.7 points per game, the second lowest score in the league. In the last three? 12.3. It is the opposite of Atlanta, which has given up 29.2 points per game over the year, averaging 29 points per game over the last three. Yowza.

To be honest, when I look at this I’m surprised that New England is only favored by 6.5. Yeah, they’re the road team, but I don’t see how Atlanta can cover that gap. We know Bill Belichick will eliminate No. 1 receiver in Atlanta, which means rookie TE Kyle Pitts will be shut down. That leaves Tajae Sharpe and Russell Gage as Ryan’s wide receivers, and that assumes Ryan isn’t just throwing picks all night. The backfield will be shared by two disappointing fullbacks who combined for just 376 yards and a year-round touchdown.

I put the points and I take New England. I’m also leaning towards the minus on the game’s total of 47.5. Over a short week, I think the New England offense will be less explosive, and I can’t see Atlanta racking up a ton of points on the NE defense without some of its key players.

Now, let’s take a look at some gamer accessories.

Mac Jones under 254.5 passing yards -125

The Atlanta Falcons are averaging 255.8 passing yards per game. In his best game of the year on Sunday, Jones only managed 198 yards. He has only exceeded that number in four of ten games this year. In three of those four games he was playing from behind, and the other game was against the Jets. The Patriots appear to have two running backs, Damien Harris and Rhamondre Stevenson, who can help carry the load in a short week, and I expect New England to be able to control the tempo of this game.

Kyle Pitts under 64.5 receiving yards -125

My fantastic teams hate me for this one, but I don’t see Pitts having a big game on Thursday. We know Belichick likes to take off receiver number one, and if it’s not Cordarrelle Patterson, that means Kyle Pitts is going to get all the attention. Pitts has only exceeded this prop three times in nine games. Not only that, but the Patriots allowed just 29.5 yards per game to the opposing tight ends and the league’s lowest catch rate – just 51.8 percent. You could argue that Pitts lines up in the slot as a wide receiver most of the time – and that’s right – but the news isn’t all that better. The Patriots are only allowing a 57.1% catch rate on opposing wide receivers.

Rhamondre Stevenson anytime TD +110

I also love Damien Harris at this place, but I go with a warm hand. Stevenson found the end zone twice last week, and from this article, there’s still a chance Harris won’t clear the concussion protocol in time for Thursday’s game. Stevenson saw 69% of the New England rushes and 20% of the New England targets on Sunday, and he should have a fair bit of the workload going forward. Atlanta has allowed eleven touchdowns (nine on the ground, two on reception) to opposing backs in nine games.

Hunter Henry anytime TD +163

Hunter Henry has peaked 21.3% of the team’s red zone targets this year. He’s been targeted in the red zone for seven straight games, with two targets in the red zone in each of the last two games. He has seven touchdowns in his last seven games.

Younghoe Koo more than 1.5 baskets +110

Yes, I bet on a kicker. Quite simply, I think the Falcons can score two goals from the field and that’s more money. Koo has kicked two or more baskets in five of the nine games played this year.

Wayne Gallman anytime TD +240

Wayne Gallman carried the ball 15 times to four for Mike Davis on Sunday. He also caught one of his two targets for another 21 yards. It seems to me that there might be a changing of the guard in Atlanta. If Patterson doesn’t go, both running backs will have a lot of work to do. The New England run defense was pretty generous, allowing 95 rushing yards and 65 passing yards per game to opposing running backs. This is by no means a highlight, but I would rather take the +240 for Gallman than the +163 for Mike Davis who has only found the end zone once this year, despite playing at every game this season.

Discover the latest odds on SI Sportsbook

Receive fantasy and betting analyzes delivered to your inbox by signing up for the Winners Club newsletter

More NFL and betting:

[ad_2]

Comments are closed.